You can’t leave the house without assuming that your neighbors won’t attack you, that your car will start without blowing up and that you can safely travel across town.
Those are pretty
safe assumptions for most of us in the United States and around the world, but
not so everywhere. There are places where you can’t assume safety, and where deadly
risk is ever-present.
Conclusion:
Assumptions and risks are situational.
We can apply that
to life: We assume the car will start . . . and then one day it doesn’t. We can
assume the front steps are safe, until the day an invisible sheet of ice makes
them life-changingly not. Maybe the usual is in place. Maybe not. It’s
situational.
When we’re project
managers, we herd uncertainty for a living. We can pay a high price for
mismanaging the job.
The devilish
thing about project management is its lurking unpredictability. There’s the
nine-times-out-of-ten factor. So much of any project is composed of procedures
we have tried and found to be true countless times. We can’t justify
meticulously examining each of them each time we employ it.